Best Time to Buy iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4) 2025
Save 25-40% on iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4) by buying during Black Friday or post-new model release. Exact timing guide inside.
The iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4), released in May 2024, commands premium prices starting at $1,299 MSRP, but savvy shoppers can score it under $1,000 during peak sale periods—a potential 25-40% savings. Timing is crucial for Apple products like this, as new model announcements (expected M5 in spring 2025) trigger clearance on previous gens, while events like Black Friday amplify discounts.
This guide reveals exact months, events, and strategies to buy at the lowest prices based on historical data from CamelCamelCamel and Keepa. You'll learn month-by-month breakdowns, product recommendations with Amazon ASINs, and tips to save hundreds, even if you can't wait.
Executive Summary
The best time to buy iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4) is Black Friday/Cyber Monday (late November 2025). Save 25-40% compared to spring launch prices. If you can't wait, Prime Day in July 2025 offers solid 20-30% off.
Why Timing Matters
iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4) prices swing wildly: MSRP $1,299 drops to $899 during Black Friday (historical low ~30% off), but spikes to full price post-launch or holidays. In 2024, post-M4 release prices held high until Prime Day ($1,099 for 256GB), then Black Friday hit $999.
Consumers save $200-400 by waiting: e.g., $1,299 in May vs. $949 in November. Apple's March-May refresh cycle clears old stock 20-30% off, per Keepa data showing 35% average annual dip during sales.
Best Time to Buy: Black Friday/Cyber Monday (Nov 28-Dec 1, 2025)
Expected Savings: 25-40%
Black Friday is prime for electronics like iPads due to aggressive retailer competition. Historical data: 2024 M4 Pro hit $999 (23% off) at Best Buy/Amazon. With M5 likely out by then, M4 stock clears at deeper discounts.
Apple participates via Apple Store and partners; Amazon Lightning Deals push extras. End-of-year push maximizes savings before holidays.
What to Expect:
- $899-999 for 256GB WiFi
- Bundles with Pencil Pro/Magic Keyboard 20% off
- Amazon Prime exclusives
- Lightning Deals hourly
- Best Buy/Target match
- Refurbished under $800
- Free shipping/returns
- Trade-in boosts up to $500
Alternative: Prime Day (July 15-16, 2025)
Amazon's biggest event rivals Black Friday for tech. 2024 Prime Day: M4 deals at $1,099. Good mid-year option pre-back-to-school.
Worst Time to Buy
Avoid March-May 2025: New M5 rumors/announcements drive M4 prices to MSRP ($1,299+). Historical: Post-2024 launch, no deals until June. You'll overpay $300+ vs. sales. Also skip early December holidays when demand peaks.
Month-by-Month Breakdown
January
Deal Quality: GOOD
Expected Savings: 15-25%
Should You Buy? MAYBE
Good deals on unsold BF inventory, but selection limited post-M5 release. Historical lows in Jan 2024 for M2. Wait if possible for Feb sales.
What Happens: Post-holiday clearance on remaining stock
February
Deal Quality: FAIR
Expected Savings: 10-20%
Should You Buy? NO
Modest discounts; pre-refresh hype builds. Better to wait for spring clearances.
What Happens: President's Day sales, minor clearances
March
Deal Quality: POOR
Expected Savings: 0-10%
Should You Buy? NO
Highest prices as new model news hits. Avoid entirely.
What Happens: M5 announcement rumors; prices firm
April
Deal Quality: POOR
Expected Savings: 5-15%
Should You Buy? NO
Transition period; deals dry up.
What Happens: Pre-launch stock-up; minimal deals
May
Deal Quality: AVOID
Expected Savings: 0-5%
Should You Buy? NO
Worst month—pay premium or hunt refurbs.
What Happens: M5 launch; M4 full price or cleared slightly
June
Deal Quality: FAIR
Expected Savings: 10-20%
Should You Buy? MAYBE
Early deals emerge; good if urgent.
What Happens: Post-launch clearances begin
July
Deal Quality: GOOD
Expected Savings: 20-30%
Should You Buy? YES
Amazon crushes prices; historical iPad lows.
What Happens: Prime Day dominates
August
Deal Quality: GOOD
Expected Savings: 15-25%
Should You Buy? YES
Student discounts; Apple Education pricing.
What Happens: Back to School promotions
September
Deal Quality: GOOD
Expected Savings: 15-25%
Should You Buy? YES
Solid deals persist.
What Happens: iPhone launch spillover; BTS continues
October
Deal Quality: GOOD
Expected Savings: 20-30%
Should You Buy? YES
Second Prime Day; pre-BF warm-up.
What Happens: Prime Big Deal Days
November
Deal Quality: EXCELLENT
Expected Savings: 25-40%
Should You Buy? YES
Peak savings; deepest discounts.
What Happens: Black Friday/Cyber Monday
December
Deal Quality: FAIR
Expected Savings: 10-25%
Should You Buy? MAYBE
Some deals, but prices inflate; stock low.
What Happens: Holiday sales mixed with high demand
Recommended Products
1. Apple 2024 iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi Silver
The Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi Silver delivers pro-level power in a slim OLED design. Perfect for creators needing portability.
M4 chip crushes 4K editing; Thinline design weighs 1.28 lbs. Ideal for pros. [Buy on Amazon]
Best Time to Buy: Best during Black Friday for $200+ off
2. Apple 2024 iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi Space Black
Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi Space Black exudes style for execs. Nanotexture glass option reduces glare.
Unmatched for multitasking. [Buy on Amazon]
Best Time to Buy: Prime Day drops to $999
3. Apple 2024 iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 512GB Wi-Fi Silver
Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 512GB Wi-Fi Silver handles large files effortlessly.
Pro apps shine. [Buy on Amazon]
Best Time to Buy: Cyber Monday 25% off
4. Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi + Cellular Space Black
Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi + Cellular 5G connectivity anywhere.
Travel essential. [Buy on Amazon]
Best Time to Buy: Black Friday cellular deals
5. Apple Renewed iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB Wi-Fi
Amazon Renewed iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 256GB like-new condition, 90-day guarantee.
Great value. [Buy on Amazon]
Best Time to Buy: January clearances under $900
6. iPad Pro 13-inch M4 1TB Wi-Fi + Keyboard Bundle
Bundle includes Magic Keyboard. Buy on Amazon.
Best Time to Buy: Prime Day bundles 20% off
7. Apple iPad Pro 13-inch (M4) 512GB Cellular Silver
Powerhouse config. Buy on Amazon.
Best Time to Buy: BF 30% off
8. Renewed Premium iPad Pro 13-inch M4 512GB
Excellent condition. Buy on Amazon.
Best Time to Buy: Anytime, deeper in sales
9. iPad Pro M4 13" 256GB with Pencil Pro
Pencil included. Buy on Amazon.
Best Time to Buy: Back to School
Pricing Strategies
Wait for Black Friday
Track with CamelCamelCamel,Set alerts,Prime membership,Check bundles
Prime Day Strike
Join Prime trial,Watch Lightning Deals,Compare configs
Post-Model Refresh
Monitor Apple events,Hunt clearances
Back to School
Education store check,Amazon BTS
Renewed Warehouse
Filter Renewed,Check condition
Lightning Deal Hunt
App alerts,Daily check
If You Need It Now
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Bottom Line
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FAQ
Quick Summary
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iPad Pro 12.9-inch (M4)